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UK/EU summit: Why adolescence mobility and fishing are key problems

UK/EU summit: Why adolescence mobility and fishing are key problems

Tom Edgington and Tamara Kovacevic

BBC Verify

BBC A picture showing a fish on a plate on the left hand side and a suitcase on the right, on a blue and green background, with "BBC Verify" logo in the top left hand side corner.BBC

The proper of younger folks to transport freely between the United Kingdom and EU has emerged as a key negotiating level – together with fishing rights – forward of a summit in London which the top minister hopes will “reset” family members between the 2 aspects.

Before Brexit, folks have been allowed to come back and move below “freedom of movement” laws. The EU would really like a brand new “youth mobility scheme” however there are issues about what have an effect on this may have on UK immigration numbers.

Fishing rights are some other attainable sticking level with the EU calling for an extension of the present post-Brexit deal, however UK fishing teams calling for adjustments to it.

BBC Verify has been analyzing each problems and why they’re vital.

What are the principles on adolescence motion?

Since Brexit, UK and EU electorate not have an automated proper to are living, paintings, or learn about in every different’s international locations.

To come to the United Kingdom for a longer length, EU nationals typically want explicit visas – a lot of which require a sponsor.

Following those new laws, there was an important drop within the collection of EU scholars coming to the United Kingdom.

A vertical bar chart showing that the number of the EU students coming to the UK fell between 2018/19 and 2022/23, from about 150,000 to just under 100,000.

The UK does have an present Youth Mobility Scheme (YMS) which permits younger adults to are living, paintings and learn about in the United Kingdom for as much as two years.

People from explicit international locations can observe however no longer from EU ones.

They need to pay an utility price, the well being surcharge, and feature no less than £2,530 in financial savings. Unlike maximum different visa schemes, the YMS does no longer require sponsorship.

Last 12 months, simply over 24,000 YMS visas have been issued – Australians have been the biggest unmarried workforce, adopted by way of New Zealanders and Canadians.

Vertical bar chart showing that Australians accounted for 40% of a total of youth mobility visas in 2024. About 9,500 of them arrived in that year. Other top nationalities are New Zealand, Canada and India

What have an effect on may a UK/EU scheme have?

Just over a 12 months in the past, the EU proposed a “youth mobility scheme” for EU and UK electorate (elderly 18 to 30), permitting remains of as much as 4 years. The concept used to be rejected by way of the-then Conservative govt.

It it’s politically delicate, given Sir Keir Starmer’s pledge to “significantly” cut back immigration ranges within the coming years.

Conservative chief Kemi Badenoch has warned in opposition to “backsliding on freedom of movement”.

Documents circulated between EU states prompt any deal may well be rebranded as a “youth experience” scheme, in an obvious bid to downplay any hyperlink to migration.

A line chart showing total arrivals and net migration to the UK between the early 1990s and the year ending June 2024. Total arrivals increased steadily from around 250,000 per year in the early 1990s to around 800,000 in the 2019. Arrivals have since risen more rapidly, reaching a peak of 1.3 million in 2023. The latest figure is 1.2 million in the year to June 2024. Net migration, which is arrivals minus departures, has followed a similar pattern, rising from around zero in the early 1990s to around 250,000 in 2019. The rate of growth has accelerated in the last few years, with net migration reaching a peak of 906,000 in the year to June 2023 before falling back to 728,000 in the year to June 2024.

Madeleine Sumption from Oxford University’s Migration Observatory instructed BBC Verify {that a} UK/EU adolescence mobility scheme would most likely building up web migration within the quick time period, as new members arrive.

However, she provides that if everybody left the United Kingdom when their visa expired, the long-term have an effect on on migration ranges could be minimum.

“If the UK is worried about the impact, it could phase in the scheme, where it gradually increases the quota. So as people leave, the quota could be raised rather than a big bang, all come at once,” she mentioned.

Home Secretary Yvette Cooper is reportedly arguing for visas to be restricted to 1 12 months in order that EU electorate collaborating don’t display up in authentic immigration figures, with programs additionally matter to an total cap.

Another attention, Ms Sumption issues out, is what number of people would move house when their transient visa involves an finish.

“Even on temporary visas, people do stay. They get a job offer and end up getting a skilled visa through their employer”, she says.

The Oxford Migration Observatory says about 10% of people that arrived on transient employee visas in 2014 from Australia, Canada and New Zealand remained in the United Kingdom on the finish of 2023.

What about fishing?

Fishing is some other delicate matter.

The post-Brexit deal on fishing rights – who will get to fish the place – expires on the finish of June 2026.

Several EU international locations, together with France, are asking the United Kingdom for concessions, in go back for the issues the United Kingdom needs from the summit.

They are pushing for a long-term extension of the present preparations, agreed in 2020.

Fishing handiest accounts for an estimated 0.4% of UK GDP but it surely used to be a large factor within the Brexit marketing campaign and guarantees have been made that the United Kingdom would change into an “independent coastal state”.

Under the Brexit deal in 2020 alternatively, EU boats got endured get right of entry to to UK waters.

In 2023, UK vessels landed 719,000 tonnes of fish – an building up of 14% in comparison to 2019.

However, this enlargement has been pushed by way of Scottish catches, whilst English fishing boats have noticed a fall of their landings.

This is related to the best way through which fish quotas have been divided up after Brexit, benefitting some spaces.

At the similar time, it has change into tougher for the United Kingdom to export fish to the EU because of post-Brexit forms and exams.

In 2023, the United Kingdom exported 235,606 tonnes of fish to the EU. That’s down 29% in comparison to the 2019 determine of 333,403 tonnes.

What do UK fishing teams need?

Chris Ranford, Chief Executive of the Cornish Fish Producers’ Organisation (CFPO), represents 175 member vessels and says not anything a lot has modified, since BBC Verify final spoke to him in 2022.

He says French vessels are nonetheless fishing off the Cornish coast: “Very modern, very high-powered French fishing vessels that have much greater catching capacity than the UK or Cornish boats come up to the six-mile line. We don’t have space to fish.”

For him, the number 1 precedence for any long term fishing deal is to forestall EU vessels getting into the stretch of coastal water that lies between six and 12 nautical miles offshore.

A photo of Chris Ranford, his head and shoulders. He has blond hair and blue eyes and is wearing a blue and red jacket. There is a boat on the water in the blurred background behind him.

Chris Ranford, Chief Executive of Cornish Fish Producers’ Organisation

France has reportedly known as for endured get right of entry to to UK waters for its fishing boats, in alternate for a defence deal the United Kingdom is pushing for.

We requested the Maritime Fisheries Committee for Northern France for remark.

Another house of development Mr Ranford is looking for is more uncomplicated get right of entry to to EU markets.

“Our small to medium-sized businesses can’t afford to do the extra paperwork to get the fish to the EU market,” he mentioned.

Elspeth Macdonald, who represents 450 fishing boats as Chief Executive of the Scottish Fishermen’s Federation, says: “The market access to the EU has become more bureaucratic.”

Head and shoulders of Elspeth Macdonald. She has blond hair and is wearing a blue jacket with a stylised drawing of a fish on the jacket under the right shoulder. She is standing in a small harbour which is visible in the background with a few small fishing boats there.

Elspeth Macdonald, Chief Executive, Scottish Fishermen’s Federation

She says she is dissatisfied with the five-year fishing deal the United Kingdom signed as much as.

“Our position approaching the EU reset… is that the access to each other’s waters would be on the basis of annual discussions”.

“By having that lever around access, the UK could secure a much fairer share of the resources in our own waters.”

There are robust reviews on all sides on fishing and adolescence mobility.

If the United Kingdom is to get what it needs from the summit, together with easing the industry in agricultural items between the United Kingdom and the EU, there should be some give and take within the coming days.

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