The Reform-ation of UK politics? Labour and Tories worry main backlash in favour of Nigel Farage’s occasion as polls shut in native elections

10pm Thursday

Polling stations shut.

Counting starts within the Runcorn & Helsby by-election and in 4 of the six mayoral contests: Doncaster, Greater Lincolnshire, North Tyneside and West of England.

Four of the 23 native government maintaining elections will get started counting: Hertfordshire, Lincolnshire, Northumberland and Staffordshire.

Only one, Northumberland, is because of file all its effects in a single day; the opposite 3 will announce some effects in a single day, with the remainder of the seats being declared in a while Friday.

2am Friday 

Results are due round this time for 2 of the mayoral contests.

North Tyneside is one in every of Labour’s north-east heartlands and the occasion’s candidate Karen Clark is favorite to win, regardless that a low turnout might imply the result’s nearer than anticipated.

The West of England mayor is usually a tight race between Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens; Labour’s probabilities is also suffering from the outgoing mayor, Dan Norris, being suspended from the occasion after he used to be arrested on suspicion of sexual offences.

3am

Counting will have to be over within the Runcorn & Helsby by-election, which used to be precipitated through the resignation of the former MP, Mike Amesbury, after he used to be given a suspended jail sentence for punching a person in a boulevard in Frodsham, Cheshire.

The end result this time is anticipated to be a lot nearer, with Reform hoping to tug off a surprise win.

3.30am

Greater Lincolnshire is one in every of two new mayoral positions being contested for the primary time and might be a two-horse race between the Conservatives and Reform.

The Tories have picked the chief of North Lincolnshire council Rob Waltham, whilst the Reform candidate is former Tory MP Dame Andrea Jenkyns.

5am

The results of the Doncaster mayoral election is due, with Labour’s Ros Jones hoping for a fourth time period in administrative center.

7am

A complete set of council effects will have to be in for Northumberland, which is lately run through a Conservative minority management.

Labour is the primary opposition and can hope to strengthen its status, regardless that Reform and impartial applicants may just additionally make positive aspects, making sure the council stays in no general keep an eye on.

9am

Ballot papers will begin to be counted round this time for the rest two mayoral contests in Cambridgeshire & Peterborough and Hull & East Yorkshire.

Counting may even get underneath means in the ones native government that didn’t start in a single day.

1pm

The complete result’s due for Durham council, the place Labour is lately the most important occasion however does now not have a majority and has been close out of energy for the previous 4 years through a multi-party coalition that comes with the Tories, the Liberal Democrats, the Greens and more than a few independents.

Labour will hope to regain complete keep an eye on, however is going through an added problem this time from Reform.

1.45pm

The Tories may just see their tiny majority vanish in Lancashire, the place Labour, Reform and impartial applicants are all hoping to make advances.

2.30pm

The result’s due for the brand new Hull & East Yorkshire mayor.

The Conservatives, Labour and Lib Dems all experience reinforce in several portions of this area, whilst Reform has picked former boxer and Olympic medallist Luke Campbell as its candidate.

3pm

The tempo starts to select up with 3 councils because of end mentioning.

Doncaster is the one native authority Labour is protecting at those elections, however the occasion faces a large risk from Reform, which is treating the council as a best goal.

The Tories are prone to see their numbers lower in each Buckinghamshire and Leicestershire, however may just smartly stay the most important occasion on each councils.

The end result could also be due for the Cambridgeshire & Peterborough mayor, which used to be received through Labour’s Nik Johnson in 2021 however he isn’t status this time, and the place each the Tories and Lib Dems fancy their probabilities.

4pm

The losses may just begin to mount for the Conservatives.

The Lib Dems are hoping to exchange the Tories as the most important occasion in Gloucestershire and Hertfordshire and may just make main positive aspects on each councils.

In Shropshire the Conservatives might lose energy due to a problem from the Lib Dems, Labour and smaller events, regardless that they might grasp on in Staffordshire the place they’ve a big majority.

4.30pm

Labour did smartly within the county of Derbyshire on the normal election and is hoping to select up seats at the council this 12 months.

With the Lib Dems and Reform additionally eyeing positive aspects, the Tories might lose general keep an eye on.

5pm

A string of effects may just convey extra gloom for the Conservatives.

Reform is threatening to consume into the Tories’ huge presence in Lincolnshire and North Northamptonshire, whilst the Conservatives’ tiny majority in Nottinghamshire is prone to evaporate within the face of demanding situations from Reform, Labour and native independents.

The Lib Dems hope to chip away on the Tory numbers in Warwickshire and do smartly sufficient in Oxfordshire to take majority keep an eye on.

In Worcestershire, the tale may well be one in every of a couple of events gaining on the Conservatives’ expense, specifically the Greens and Reform.

6pm

More Tory losses might are available Cornwall, the place the occasion has minority keep an eye on of the council however faces dual threats from the Liberal Democrats and independents.

The Lib Dems also are hoping to wipe out the Conservatives’ majority in Devon and make positive aspects on the Tories’ expense in Wiltshire.

In Cambridgeshire, the Lib Dems are lately the most important occasion however do not need a majority and can be prepared to strengthen their place.

7pm

The ultimate effects are due from Kent and West Northamptonshire: two councils the place the Tories lately have a majority however the place they face demanding situations from multiple occasion.

Reform and Labour are hoping to advance in each spaces, whilst Kent may just see positive aspects for the Lib Dems, Greens and impartial applicants.