Federal election 2025 reside: Australia polls open, balloting starts; Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton on election day marketing campaign for Labor and Coalition – newest information

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n It is unclear how this may occasionally translate into seats given the building up within the collection of electorates which might be three-way contests, fairly than coming right down to a battle between Labor and the Coalition. Pollster Shaun Ratcliff informed Guardian Australia that the most recent polls display the Coalition “going backwards” in a choice of key seats he has been monitoring, after preliminary polls in February had the Coalition forward.

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You can in finding extra granular breakdowns of the polls, together with through demography, on our monitoring web page.

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Somewhat further afield, Australians have already voted, Emily Wind reports:

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In the leadup to election day, Australians have cast their ballots in a number of remote locations and even from overseas – but none as far south as the 100-odd expeditioners currently working in Antarctica.

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Expeditioners working at Australia’s Antarctic and sub-Antarctic stations were able to cast their vote by telephone – a process typically reserved for voters who are blind or have low vision – with no physical ballot booth setup this year.

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Voting opened on 22 April, with expeditioners able to vote early or on election day. But, unlike others, they won’t be fined if they do not vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.

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The AEC says Australians travelling to work in Antarctica need to register as an Antarctic elector before leaving the country – with “Antarctic” including the Australian Antarctic Territory, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, Macquarie Island, and a ship at sea in transit to or from Antarctica.

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Arrangements were put in place for expeditioners on the RSV Nuyina in case it arrived back later than scheduled (on 2 May, the day before the election).

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It is simply previous 8am right here in Sydney, and the polling cubicles are formally open!

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Voters can hotel their ballots between 8am to 6pm as of late.

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For a refresher on when, the place and easy methods to vote, this is our 2025 balloting information with the entirety you want to grasp.

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Key occasions

Final polls display Labor in lead

Josh Nicholas

Labor is main the Coalition 51.4% to 48.6% in Guardian Australia’s ballot tracker, after a flurry of ultimate polls from DemosAu, Newspoll, YouGov and Roy Morgan. This is with regards to a repeat of the closing election, however, as you’ll see within the chart under, even on election day there’s nonetheless uncertainty.

Labor’s estimated number one vote is stable at 30%, and the Coalition 33% in the most recent moderate. The polls have Labor’s number one vote a bit of bit upper than this, however the style thinks there may well be an overestimation of Labor as was once noticed in earlier elections.

The estimated number one percentage for the Greens is ready 13% in keeping with our style, which might be a few one level building up at the closing election. Others and Independents, a bunch that comes with One Nation and the Teal independents, are on 23.5%, up about 4 issues.